Second chances Essay Example

Second chances Essay Example Second chances Essay Second chances Essay This article talks about the second-term curse; the perceived tendency of second terms of recent U. S presidents to be less successful than their first terms. According to the curse, the second terms of recent presidents have usually been plagued by a major scandal, policy Inertia, some sort of catastrophe, or other problems. In the article Second Chances, the author suggests some Ideas about how President Obama can avoid a unsuccessful second-term. He talks about the failures of George Washington, Ulysses S. Grant, Woodrow Wilson, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, and most recently George W. Bush, who were the victims of the curse and by looking at these two-term stars, he explains how and why Obama might be more blessed than cursed. In his article Triumphant Obama Faces New Foe in Second-Term Curse', Adam Clever also lists various failures and issues presidents have came across in their second terms, but he does not forget to mention that these problems overshadow the good things presidents have done when they were re-elected. Clever gives various insights Into why presidents may face problems In their second-terms, such as lack of ewe Ideas or loss of a key cabinet member. According to Mar, all 4 of the president who was successful on their second- terms (Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln, Franklin Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan) despite the curse, had something in common. They succeeded with help from a political heir, a loyal lieutenant. By contrast, presidents who kept their vice presidents and wing mans at a distance were more likely to be cursed. So the first thing author suggests to Obama is even if he can not succeed himself in 2016, he can chose a proxy to replace him. Secondly, Obama has the advantage of being young. Mar believes he can use his youth to stay involved with politics. Another thing the author believes is Obama needs to go bold and big with his ideas to find a legacy for himself. To sum It up, Mar believes that President Beams second term does not have to be filled with problems and the outlook of the future Is bright for the president. Adam Clever agrees with Mar. They both state that although Obama will have problems In the future, he does not have to be known as a lame duck president in his second term and his fate rests in his own hands. On the other side, in his article Beware Beams Big Ideas, Tim Caving, who is completely skeptical of President Beams second term, focuses completely on the negatives of Beams time in office. He addresses his lack of regard for congressional authorization and criticizes him for thoughts of new ideas. Caving thinks that because of President Beams past failures, there is no chance he will have a successful second term. In conclusion, all 3 of the articles have some strong points as well as weak.

Introduction to the Reserve Ratio

Introduction to the Reserve Ratio The reserve ratio is the fraction of total deposits that a bank keeps on hand as reserves (i.e. cash in the vault). Technically, the reserve ratio can also take the form of a required reserve ratio, or the fraction of deposits that a bank is required to keep on hand as reserves, or an excess reserve ratio, the fraction of total deposits that a bank chooses to keep as reserves above and beyond what it is required to hold. Now that weve explored the conceptual definition, lets look at a question related to the reserve ratio. Suppose the required reserve ratio is 0.2. If an extra $20 billion in reserves is injected into the banking system through an open market purchase of bonds, by how much can demand deposits increase? Would your answer be different if the required reserve ratio was 0.1? First, well examine what the required reserve ratio is. What Is the Reserve Ratio? The reserve ratio is the percentage of depositors bank balances that the banks have on hand. So if a bank has $10 million in deposits, and $1.5 million of those are currently in the bank, then the bank has a reserve ratio of 15%. In most countries, banks are required to keep a minimum percentage of deposits on hand, known as the required reserve ratio.This required reserve ratio is put in place to ensure that banks do not run out of cash on hand to meet the demand for withdrawals. What do the banks do with the money they dont keep on hand? They loan it out to other customers! Knowing this, we can figure out what happens when the money supply increases. When the Federal Reserve buys bonds on the open market, it buys those bonds from investors, increasing the amount of cash those investors hold. They can now do one of two things with the money: Put it in the bank.Use it to make a purchase (such as a consumer good, or a financial investment like a stock or bond) Its possible they could decide to put the money under their mattress or burn it, but generally, the money will either be spent or put into the bank. If every investor who sold a bond put her money in the bank, bank balances would initially increase by $20 billion dollars. Its likely that some of them will spend the money. When they spend the money, theyre essentially transferring the money to someone else. That someone else will now either put the money in the bank or spend it. Eventually, all of that 20 billion dollars will be put into the bank. So bank balances rise by $20 billion. If the reserve ratio is 20%, then the banks are required to keep $4 billion on hand. The other $16 billion they can loan out. What happens to that $16 billion the banks make in loans? Well, it is either put back into banks, or it is spent. But as before, eventually, the money has to find its way back to a bank. So bank balances rise by an additional $16 billion. Since the reserve ratio is 20%, the bank must hold onto $3.2 billion (20% of $16 billion). That leaves $12.8 billion available to be loaned out. Note that the $12.8 billion is 80% of $16 billion, and $16 billion is 80% of $20 billion. In the first period of the cycle, the bank could loan out 80% of $20 billion, in the second period of the cycle, the bank could loan out 80% of 80% of $20 billion, and so on. Thus the amount of money the bank can loan out in some period ​n of the cycle is given by: $20 billion * (80%)n where n represents what period we are in. To think of the problem more generally, we need to define a few variables: Variables Let A be the amount of money injected into the system (in our case, $20 billion dollars)Let r be the required reserve ratio (in our case 20%).Let T be the total amount the bank loans outAs above, n will represent the period we are in. So the amount the bank can lend out in any period is given by: A*(1-r)n This implies that the total amount the bank loans out is: T A*(1-r)1 A*(1-r)2 A*(1-r)3 ... for every period to infinity. Obviously, we cannot directly calculate the amount the bank loans out each period and sum them all together, as there are an infinite number of terms. However, from mathematics we know the following relationship holds for an infinite series: x1 x2 x3 x4 ... x / (1-x) Notice that in our equation each term is multiplied by A. If we pull that out as a common factor we have: T A[(1-r)1 (1-r)2 (1-r)3 ...] Notice that the terms in the square brackets are identical to our infinite series of x terms, with (1-r) replacing x. If we replace x with (1-r), then the series equals (1-r)/(1 - (1 - r)), which simplifies to 1/r - 1. So the total amount the bank loans out is: T A*(1/r - 1) So if A 20 billion and r 20%, then the total amount the bank loans out is: T $20 billion * (1/0.2 - 1) $80 billion. Recall that all the money that is loaned out is eventually put back into the bank. If we want to know how much total deposits go up, we also need to include the original $20 billion that was deposited in the bank. So the total increase is $100 billion dollars. We can represent the total increase in deposits (D) by the formula: D A T But since T A*(1/r - 1), we have after substitution: D A A*(1/r - 1) A*(1/r). So after all this complexity, we are left with the simple formula D A*(1/r). If our required reserve ratio were instead 0.1, total deposits would go up by $200 billion (D $20b * (1/0.1). With the simple formula D A*(1/r) we can quickly and easily determine what effect an open-market sale of bonds will have on the money supply.